Incorrect.

Presuming an infinite universe then anything can exist or is possible.
You're actually debating from a point of probability indications.

That raises a question in my mind, but first let me just point out that you are absolutely right... my post was the basis for Hobbit before she was discovered and that concept was often cited as proof against it AFTER it was discovered until all the evidence weighed in.

The question you've raised in my mind however is that there must be a tipping point in the probabilities...

At what point of 'probability' does research begin on a given topic to investigate a subject or theory?