wirelessguru1 wrote:

"This is very good info to have since the Hurricane
season is estimated to be, once again, out of the Normal..."

In the long term, the number of hurricanes is not "out of
normal" as wirelessguru1 suggests above. Contrary to what
what implied by "out of normal", the sky is not falling
and the hurricane activity is not some portent of a vague
and imaginary catastrophic Earth changes.

It is only the active part of a decade-long cycle in the
number of hurricanes that has been well-documented in
historical records. Even during the decades-long active,
"season", it is normal for the number of hurricanes to
vary greatly. The number of hurricanes, likely will be
'greater than what people have regarded as "normal" in
the past until sometime around 2025. A person better
use to it and prepare for to deal with it for the next
20 years or so.

Some articles about this are:

'Active' Hurricane Season Predicted for U.S.
By Willie Drye for National Geographic News
[rl.channel.aol.com]

"20 years of hurricanes: Meteorologists believe this year's
storms part of a cycle started in '95"
By Michael Woods, Post-Gazette National Bureau, October 03, 2004
[www.post-gazette.com]

and

Scientists believe this year's storms part of a cycle that
started in 1995: 20 to 30 More Years of Hurricane Disasters.
floridagardener.com
[www.floridagardener.com]

"Hurricane forecasters think that the world has
shifted into a cycle of increased hurricane
activity that may last well past the year 2025."

and

"Professor Gray says hurricane activity
follows a measurable pattern based on
temperature changes and circulation patterns
of air and water in the Atlantic Ocean.
"What is happening now," he says, "is simply
that pattern repeating itself, as it has done
in the past, and will likely do in the future.""

As the National Geographic article stated, the reason more
damage is being done and more people are being killed and
injured is that after the last period of active hurricane
seasons, which occurred from the late 1920s to the late 1960s,
the number of people and buildings, homes, roads, and other
infrastructure constructed within coastal areas vunerable to
hurricanes has increased manyfold. The storms in the late
1920s to late 1960s were just as bad and numerous as those
occurring now, but there were far, far fewer people and far,
far less property in the coastal zones to be hurt or damaged
during that period of increased hurricane activity then is
now.

Best

Paul H.






Edited 4 time(s). Last edit at 06/12/2005 12:18PM by Paul H..